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Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Networks lose ground in the fall TV season


In a continuation of a steady trend, he big networks continue to lose viewers, only two new shows are successes, and there's not much excitement among fans. Prime-time viewership is up 2% this fall, but fans aren't going to the major networks their TV.

•Last winter's writers' strike crimped development of new shows: Only 14 scripted series joined the schedule.

•ABC and NBC lost big bets that viewers would return to five holdover series benched last winter during the strike (ABC's Pushing Daisies, Private Practice and Dirty Sexy Money, and NBC's Chuck and Life).

•An electrifying presidential campaign has nearly tripled viewership for the three major cable news networks in October, draining potential audience, while other cable channels once leery of fall now compete aggressively. Univision and MyNetwork TV also have gained viewers.

•And continued growth in streaming online and time-shifting with DVRs — now in 28% of homes — has stripped the immediacy from scripted TV viewing, and risks leaving once-loyal fans less so. At least one in four viewers of Fringe, Heroes, 90210 and The Office record and watch those shows later.

The four biggest networks combined averaged 36.9 million prime-time viewers this fall, down 9%, compounding last year's losses.

Among the bright spots, CBS has the smallest decline from last fall, the most new shows and this
season's biggest new hit: The Mentalist, a twist on its familiar crime-drama formula, which is averaging nearly 16 million viewers behind NCIS. And remarkably, seven of the network's returning series have gained viewers over last fall, reversing a typical trend for long-running series.

With Tina Fey's star on the rise, thanks to her Sarah Palin impression on Saturday Night
Live
, NBC's 30 Rock returned to series highs last week. But all of the fourth-place network's new series have had mediocre turnouts.

ABC, heavily dependent on serialized dramas that target younger women, has seen losses, though it remains a close second among young-adult viewers. CW has narrowed its target to young women, and in that measure has something of a new hit with its 90210 remake.

And Fox, always a laggard in fall, has seen declines in almost every returning show (and arecord-low World Series), though Fringe is helping the network bide its time. "They're waiting for 24 and (American) Idol in January," says Brad Adgate of ad buyer Horizon Media. "That changes the whole race."

And programmers hope the end of election season will draw more viewers back to prime time,
invigorating a ratings race that pales by comparison.

Copyright 2008 USA TODAY, a division of Gannett Co. Inc.

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